US job growth increased moderately in September, with the unemployment rate dropping to near a 50-year low of 3.5%, assuaging concerns the slowing economy was on the brink of a recession. "There were expectations that we might see the worst jobs report and that did not happen. Gold is counting on the Fed cutting more interest rates," said Jeffrey Sica, founder and CEO of Circle Squared Alternative Investments.
"Considering how dismal the other economic numbers were, this jobs report was fairly acceptable. Yesterday, we saw a real strong sentiment towards the Fed lowering interest rates because of the economic weakness and this (jobs data) might have a reverse effect." US short-term interest rate futures traders on Friday pared bets the Federal Reserve would cut rates at both of its two upcoming meetings.
"The Fed is still expected to cut at least once more this year, but the December meeting remains a toss-up. The economy is not falling off a cliff and gold could see some softness, but the overall bullish trend should remain intact," Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA, said in a note. Gold had risen to a one-week high of $1,518.50 per ounce in the previous session. Persistent weakness in global economic indicators on the backdrop of the US-China trade war has led to a 17% rise in bullion prices so far this year.
Investors will be closely watching the US-China trade talks which resume next week. On Friday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said the US team was "open-minded" about the outcome of US-China trade talks, which will include deputy-level meetings on Monday and Tuesday, with minister-level meetings Thursday and Friday.
"For gold now there is more of a concern that the trade war is going to get considerably more worse. We made absolutely no progress and investors are losing confidence in US and China making a deal," Sica said. "As result of that, investors are buying gold in anticipation of more chaos."
Elsewhere, platinum fell 1.5% to $876.79 an ounce and was down over 5% this week, on track for its biggest weekly decline since May. Silver eased 0.2% to $17.52, and palladium climbed 1.7% to $1,681.06.